Barcelona v Real Madrid Prediction: Copa del Rey Final Tips

Saturday | 20:00 UTC | La Cartuja | Copa del Rey Final

Spanish football’s biggest rivalry lights up Seville on Saturday night as Barcelona and Real Madrid face off in a blockbuster Copa del Rey final. With silverware on the line and recent meetings favouring the Catalans, expect fireworks in this season’s El Clasico finale.

Barca Chasing a Domestic Double

Barcelona already have the Supercopa in the bag having thrashed Real Madrid in the final, and they now look to complete a domestic double. They’ve had the upper hand in this rivalry all season, winning 4-0 and 5-2 in their two previous meetings.

Hansi Flick’s side have lost just once in 2025- in a second-leg defeat to Borussia Dortmund after resting key players. With 12 wins in their last 13 La Liga games, momentum is firmly behind them.

Even with Robert Lewandowski likely sidelined, Barca have been relentless going forward, averaging 2.3 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Real Madrid Must Respond

It’s been a turbulent campaign for Real Madrid. Despite Kylian Mbappe’s goals, balance has eluded Carlo Ancelotti’s side. They’ve suffered 13 defeats across all competitions, a stark contrast to just one last season, and defensive errors continue to cost them.

That said, this is still a cup final, and Madrid’s squad remains packed with talent. If Mbappe is fit, and Jude Bellingham can dictate the tempo, they have the firepower to trouble any defence.

How the Bookies See It

Barcelona are narrow 2.14 favourites to lift the trophy in 90 minutes. The draw is priced at 3.85, while Real Madrid can be backed at 2.96. Over 3.5 goals is a tempting 2.22, especially as that bet has landed in the last 4 meetings between these sides.

Head-to-Head: Clasico Goals Galore

The last 4 Clasicos have averaged over five goals per game. This is the first Copa del Rey final meeting between the two giants since 2014, when Gareth Bale’s legendary solo goal handed Real Madrid the win. Since then, Barcelona have held the edge, particularly in high-stakes matches this season.

Players to Watch

Raphinha has been on fire this season, reaching the 30-goal mark across all competitions. Rested in midweek, he’s primed to return and is 2.75 to score anytime.

Kylian Mbappe remains a doubt, but if he starts, he’s Real Madrid’s best chance at turning this tie in their favour. Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Junior will also be key to unlocking a compact Barca backline.

Predicted Lineups

Barcelona: Szczesny; Kounde, I. Martínez, Cubarsi, Balde; De Jong, Pedri, Olmo; Raphinha, Ferran, Yamal
Real Madrid: Courtois; Valverde, Asencio, Rudiger, Mendy; Tchouameni, Bellingham, Ceballos; Vinicius, Mbappe, Rodrygo