Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips

November 20, 2025
2 Minute Read

Saturday | 12:30 UTC | Turf Moor | Premier League

Chelsea travel to Turf Moor aiming to keep pressure on the Premier League leaders. Enzo Maresca’s side sit third, just six points off top, and face a Burnley team still trying to steady themselves after a tough start to life back in the top flight.

✅ Chelsea to Win & Over 1.5 Goals – 1.78
✅ Alejandro Garnacho to Score or Assist – 2.10

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Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction

Chelsea head north in solid form, having won four of their last five league matches. They recovered well from their shock defeat to Sunderland, beating Spurs and Wolves by an aggregate of 5-1. Their attacking data remains strong, averaging 2.1 xG across their last five and scoring three or more goals in three of those games.

Burnley, meanwhile, have dropped off in recent weeks. After wins over Leeds and Wolves, they’ve lost back-to-back games to Arsenal and West Ham, conceding five in total. Scott Parker’s side are struggling to contain higher-quality opposition, allowing over 15 shots per game across their last four fixtures.

Chelsea’s away record at Turf Moor is emphatic — six straight wins, scoring at least twice in every visit. With Maresca’s side clicking in attack and Burnley leaking goals, it’s hard to see that streak ending.

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Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction & Odds

Chelsea are 1.48 favourites to win at Turf Moor, with Burnley priced at 6.40 and the draw available at 4.40. Over 2.5 goals trades at 1.77, while a Chelsea win with over 1.5 goals sits around 1.78 — both reflecting expectations of a dominant away display.

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Burnley vs Chelsea Tips

Alejandro Garnacho continues to look sharp in blue after joining from Manchester United. The Argentine winger has contributed in each of his last three appearances with two goals and two assists, and his pace on the break suits Chelsea’s away setup perfectly. Back him to register a goal or assist again.

Chelsea have shown a habit of punishing lower-half sides, winning all four games against teams 15th or below, scoring 13 and conceding once. With Burnley conceding multiple goals in five of their last six, Chelsea to win and over 1.5 goals looks a standout selection.

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Burnley vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups

Burnley (4-2-3-1): Dubravka; Walker, Tuanzebe, Esteve, Hartman; Cullen, Florentino; Ugochukwu, Bruun Larsen, Anthony; Flemming.
Chelsea (4-3-3): Sanchez; Gusto, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella; Caicedo, James, Fernandez; Neto, Garnacho, Pedro.

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Burnley vs Chelsea Betting Tips & Predictions

✅ Chelsea to Win & Over 1.5 Goals – 1.78
✅ Alejandro Garnacho to Score or Assist – 2.10

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Odds correct at time of writing.

Stephen is our resident Irishman who has been playing or watching sports in Ireland for nearly two decades. With over 10 years of experience as a professional writer, Stephen enjoys delving deep into all things sports to provide the best…

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