July 7, 2025
2 Minute Read
Fluminense vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips
Fluminense’s fairy-tale run at the Club World Cup rolls into the semi-finals, but a disciplined Chelsea side stand in their way on Tuesday in New Jersey.
The Brazilians edged past Al Hilal on Friday but did so with ruthless efficiency rather than attacking fireworks, just three shots on target produced both goals in a game that finished with only seven shots on target and 1.57 expected goals.
Across all five of their Club World Cup games, Fluminense matches have averaged just 1.69 xG and under eight shots on target, clear signs they keep things tight and take few risks.
Chelsea are showing similar signs under Enzo Maresca. The Blues saw off Palmeiras 2-1 in a cagey quarter-final, restricting them to just 0.21 xG and two shots on target, defensive structure over spectacle.
Fluminense vs Chelsea Prediction & Odds
Fluminese- 5.20
Draw-
Chelsea-
✅ Under 2.5 Goals – 1.73
✅ Correct Score Chelsea 1-0 – 5.75
Fluminense have failed to score in two of five games in this competition, and Chelsea have shown they can shut down Brazilian opposition. Expect another chess match in New Jersey. Under 2.5 goals looks solid, and a narrow 1-0 Chelsea win has real appeal in the correct score market.
Fluminense vs Chelsea Tips
✅ Under 2.5 Goals – 1.73
✅ Correct Score Chelsea 1-0 – 5.75
Expect a tight battle; Maresca’s men don’t blow teams away but they do manage moments. With Fluminense struggling to create clear openings, the Blues are fancied to edge it and book their place in the final.
Fluminense vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups
Fluminense: Fábio; Samuel Xavier, Felipe Melo, Nino, Marcelo; André, Ganso, Martinelli; Arias, Cano, Keno.
Chelsea: Sanchez; James, Disasi, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Enzo Fernández; Palmer, Neto, Nkunku; Delap.
Odds correct at time of writing.
