Newcastle Utd vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday | 19:00 UTC | St James’ Park | Premier League
St James’ Park takes centre stage on Monday night as Newcastle host Liverpool in one of the Premier League’s standout early-season fixtures. Both sides enter with very different narratives: Eddie Howe’s Magpies are searching for attacking answers without Alexander Isak, while Arne Slot’s Liverpool look to continue their blistering start after a chaotic 4-2 opening win over Bournemouth.
Newcastle vs Liverpool Match Prediction
Newcastle showed defensive grit in a 0-0 away draw at Aston Villa, but their lack of cutting edge was glaring. Despite 16 shots and 33 box touches, only one found the target. With Isak sidelined amid transfer turmoil, Howe will lean heavily on Anthony Elanga and Anthony Gordon to provide pace and penetration.
Liverpool, meanwhile, were rampant against Bournemouth — 19 shots, 10 on target, and 2.21 xG created. They were the league’s best away side last season, scoring in all 19 away trips and producing a dominant 68% xG ratio. Mohamed Salah remains the talisman, now supported by new signing Florian Wirtz, who already looks integrated into Slot’s high-tempo attacking blueprint.
The concern? Defence. Against Bournemouth, Liverpool conceded 1.70 xG, 28 box touches, and were exposed repeatedly in transition. That leaves the door open for Newcastle to trouble them, even without their leading striker.
Newcastle vs Liverpool Odds & Prediction
- Newcastle: 3.05
- Draw: 3.70
- Liverpool: 2.14
Goals are expected: Over 2.5 goals trades at 1.53 while Both Teams to Score is 1.49.
Newcastle vs Liverpool Tips
Anthony Elanga is worth watching. On debut against Villa he registered 0.6 xG and two shots (one on target), showing he’ll be Newcastle’s outlet in transition. At Nottingham Forest last year, he landed a shot on target in 61% of starts — expect more service with Gordon and Bruno Guimaraes alongside him.
Liverpool’s attack is relentless: they averaged 11 shots in the box per away match last season and scored 2+ goals in 14 of those 19 fixtures. Salah plus Wirtz spells danger for a Magpies backline that often leans on Nick Pope’s heroics.
Given both sides’ profiles, goals look inevitable.
Predicted Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3): Pope; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Burn; Guimaraes, Tonali, Joelinton; Elanga, Gordon, Barnes
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Alisson; Gomez, Konate, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Mac Allister, Szoboszlai; Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo; Ekitike
Newcastle vs Liverpool Betting Tips & Predictions
✅ Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals – 1.60
✅ Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals – 1.79
✅ Elanga Over 0.5 Shots on Target – 1.93
Odds correct at time of writing.


